Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals
Feb 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
Qatar1 - 1Uzbekistan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 Palestine
Monday, January 29 at 4pm in Asian Cup
Monday, January 29 at 4pm in Asian Cup
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We say: Qatar 1-2 Uzbekistan (extra-time)
The smart money may be on Qatar, given their record in these knockout fixtures, but they have been put under duress quite a bit at this tournament. That, along with the overall quality and resilience of their opponents, is why we are giving Uzbekistan a slight edge, as they have shown plenty of consistency and poise under pressure. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (9.94%).
Result | ||
Qatar | Draw | Uzbekistan |
27.67% ( -1.34) | 28.01% ( -0.01) | 44.32% ( 1.34) |
Both teams to score 45.31% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.82% ( -0.54) | 60.18% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.62% ( -0.41) | 80.38% ( 0.41) |
Qatar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.11% ( -1.38) | 37.89% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.34% ( -1.36) | 74.66% ( 1.36) |
Uzbekistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% ( 0.45) | 27.04% ( -0.46) |