MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 22:28:02| >> :600:23174261:23174261:
Qatar national football team
Asian Cup | Quarter-Finals
Feb 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
Uzbekistan national football team

Qatar
1 - 1
Uzbekistan

Al Heidos (27')
Barsham (46'), Muneer (89'), Ali (90+1'), Ro-Ro (105')
FT
(aet)
Khamrobekov (59')
Katanec (47'), Shukurov (69'), Ashurmatov (90')
Qatar win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Qatar and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 Palestine
Monday, January 29 at 4pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We say: Qatar 1-2 Uzbekistan (extra-time)

The smart money may be on Qatar, given their record in these knockout fixtures, but they have been put under duress quite a bit at this tournament. That, along with the overall quality and resilience of their opponents, is why we are giving Uzbekistan a slight edge, as they have shown plenty of consistency and poise under pressure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (9.94%).

Result
QatarDrawUzbekistan
27.67% (-1.337 -1.34) 28.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 44.32% (1.343 1.34)
Both teams to score 45.31% (-0.717 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (-0.542 -0.54)60.18% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.62% (-0.414 -0.41)80.38% (0.411 0.41)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-1.378 -1.38)37.89% (1.375 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-1.361 -1.36)74.66% (1.359 1.36)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (0.452 0.45)27.04% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (0.587 0.59)62.41% (-0.591 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 27.67%
    Uzbekistan 44.32%
    Draw 28%
QatarDrawUzbekistan
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.24% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 13.4% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.76% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.32%

How you voted: Winner Match 40 vs Winner Match 41

Winner Match 40
49.0%
Draw
25.5%
Winner Match 41
25.5%
51
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2018 3pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-0
Qatar
Akhmedov (73'), Bikmaev (86')
Alibaev (79')

Ali (22'), Hatem (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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