Friendlies 3

Dec 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova

Uzbekistan
4 - 1
Kyrgyzstan

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-2 Iran
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Kyrgyzstan

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-0 Oman
Tuesday, November 21 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
61.45% ( 53.44)	21.78% ( 6.24)	16.78% ( -59.67)

Both teams to score 49.72% (

7.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

-5.6)

47.41% (

5.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37% (

-5.41)

69.63% (

5.42)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09% (

38.15)

14.92% (

-38.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.7% (

43.39)

43.3% (

-43.39)

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.43% (

-32.39)

41.57% (

32.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.94% (

-46.97)

78.06% (

46.98)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 61.44%

Kyrgyzstan 16.78%

Draw 21.77%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 8.71) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 10.24) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 7.52) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 6.91) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 5.76) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 3.35) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 2.89) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 2.15) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 1.21) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 1.28) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 1.12) Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.44%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 2.98) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 1.34) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 1.54) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.77%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( -6.18) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -4.26) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -11.49) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -5.68) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.96) Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.78%