World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 2pm UK

Asgabat Stadiony

Turkmenistan
1 - 3
Uzbekistan

Durdyyev (44')
Bashimov (66'), Tirkishov (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shukurov (57', 77'), Shomurodov (90+1')
Khamrobekov (34')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Bahrain 1-1 Turkmenistan
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Uzbekistan

Last Game: China 1-2 Uzbekistan
Monday, October 16 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies

We said: Turkmenistan 1-3 Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan have dominated this fixture to a large degree and are huge favourites to come away with maximum points from this one, and while we can see Turkmenistan putting up a good fight, we fully expect the visitors to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 83.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.06%) and 0-1 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Uzbekistan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uzbekistan.

Result
Turkmenistan	Draw	Uzbekistan
4.23%	11.79%	83.98% ( 0)

Both teams to score 33.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.24% (

40.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.86% (

63.14% (

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.64% (

64.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.28%

92.72% (

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.79% (

7.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.83% (

26.17%

Score Analysis

Turkmenistan 4.23%

Uzbekistan 83.97%

Draw 11.79%

Turkmenistan	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 2.04% 2-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1% Total : 4.23%	1-1 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 4.64% 2-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.22% Total : 11.79%	0-2 @ 16.04% 0-3 @ 14.06% 0-1 @ 12.2% 0-4 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.86% 1-4 @ 4.08% 1-5 @ 2.14% 0-6 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.63% Total : 83.97%