Friendlies 1

Sep 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Indonesia
2 - 0
Turkmenistan

Sulistyawan (19'), Maulana (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guychmyrat (27'), Tagayew (51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Indonesia and Turkmenistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 0-2 Argentina
Monday, June 19 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Turkmenistan

Last Game: Malaysia 1-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 23 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Turkmenistan
51.05% ( 0.2)	25.82% ( -0.02)	23.13% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.59% (

-0.07)

55.41% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39% (

-0.05)

76.61% (

0.06)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

0.06)

21.76% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

0.09)

54.94% (

-0.09)

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

-0.21)

39.27% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02% (

-0.19)

75.98% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 51.04%

Turkmenistan 23.14%

Draw 25.82%

Indonesia	Draw	Turkmenistan
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.04%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.14%