Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Curacao win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Indonesia in this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Curacao
47.67% ( -0.13)	22.5% ( 0.03)	29.83% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 64.42% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.07% (

-0.09)

35.93% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.98% (

-0.1)

58.02% (

0.1)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49% (

-0.08)

15.51% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.58% (

-0.15)

44.42% (

0.15)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

0.02)

23.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

0.03)

57.9% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 47.67%

Curacao 29.83%

Draw 22.5%

Indonesia	Draw	Curacao
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.67%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.83%