International Friendly

Sep 24, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadion Gelora Bandung Lautan Api

Indonesia
3 - 2
Curacao

Klok (18'), Aryanto (22'), Drajad (56')
Irianto (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Janga (8'), Bacuna (25')
Statie (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Indonesia and Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Bangladesh
Wednesday, June 1 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies

Curacao

Last Six:

Last Game: Canada 4-0 Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Curacao win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	Curacao
43.31% ( -0.11)	23.08% ( 0.06)	33.61% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 64.21% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63% (

-0.3)

36.99% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.82% (

-0.32)

59.18% (

0.32)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42% (

-0.16)

17.58% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.86% (

-0.28)

48.14% (

0.29)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9% (

-0.11)

22.1% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.54% (

-0.17)

55.46% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Indonesia 43.31%

Curacao 33.61%

Draw 23.07%

Indonesia	Draw	Curacao
2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 43.31%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.61%