World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Indonesia
0 - 5
UAE

Mangkualam (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mabkhout (22', 49' pen.), Lima (28', 55'), Tagliabue (86')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Indonesia and United Arab Emirates.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
Indonesia	Draw	United Arab Emirates
32.9%	22.71%	44.4%

Both teams to score 65.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.6%

35.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.56%

57.44%

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26%

21.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09%

54.91%

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.74%

46.26%

Score Analysis

Indonesia 32.9%

United Arab Emirates 44.4%

Draw 22.71%

Indonesia	Draw	United Arab Emirates
2-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.53% Total : 32.9%	1-1 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.59% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.49% 1-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.57% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.59% Total : 44.4%