World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 1pm UK

Malaysia
4 - 3
Kyrgyzstan

Cools (7', 77'), Brauzman (72' og.), Halim (90+3')
Aiman (19'), Cools (36')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Zhyrgalbek Uulu (42'), Batyrkanov (44'), Merk (57')
Alykulov (19'), Abdurakhmanov (35')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Malaysia and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaysia

Last Game: Malaysia 0-2 Tajikistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan

Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-1 Philippines
Sunday, October 15 at 8am in International Friendlies

We said: Malaysia 1-1 Kyrgyzstan

With these two sides both likely to have their sights set on finishing second behind Oman in Group D, this could be a hugely competitive clash as they look to qualify for a World Cup for the first time in their histories. Malaysia head into the match in better form and will have home advantage on their side, but Kyrgyzstan are ranked 40 places higher in FIFA's world rankings, so we expect them to be able to avoid defeat and build from there. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.

Result
Malaysia	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
66.21%	19.45%	14.34%

Both teams to score 51.62% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.06%

41.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

-0)

64.34%

Malaysia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19%

11.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.97%

37.03%

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.53% (

-0)

41.47% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.03%

77.97%

Score Analysis

Malaysia 66.2%

Kyrgyzstan 14.34%

Draw 19.45%

Malaysia	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 11.17% 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.64% Total : 66.2%	1-1 @ 9.21% 0-0 @ 4.9% 2-2 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.45%	0-1 @ 4.31% 1-2 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.34%