We said: Qatar 1-0 China
Marquez seems to have re-instilled the confidence lost within this group after their disastrous 2022 World Cup campaign.
Even if we see numerous changes to the Qatar lineup as we anticipate, this is a side incredibly compact when off the ball, while China look frustrated and lost in the attacking third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for China had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qatar in this match.