World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Al Maktoum Stadium

UAE
4 - 0
Nepal

Alhammadi (11'), Mabkhout (36' pen., 44'), Lima (45+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Shrestha (35'), Chaudhary (47')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between United Arab Emirates and Nepal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 2-1 Lebanon
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Nepal

Last Game: Laos 0-1 Nepal
Tuesday, October 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: United Arab Emirates 6-0 Nepal

UAE are one of the nations expected to emerge from the shadows and take a qualifying spot given the World Cup's expansion, and they should get off to a comfortable start with a routine win here. The two nations have only met once, and it came in a 1984 friendly which UAE won 11-0, and a similarly one-sided affair could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Nepal
58.89% ( -0)	24.26% ( 0)	16.85% ( 0)

Both teams to score 42.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2% (

56.79% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

77.73% (

-0)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

19.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

50.79%

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.93% (

47.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.47% (

82.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 58.88%

Nepal 16.85%

Draw 24.25%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Nepal
1-0 @ 14.89% 2-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.11% 4-0 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.88%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.79% 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.85%