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World Cup
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium
Qatar national football team

Iran
vs.
Qatar

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: North Korea vs. Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Qatar

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 3-1 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 1-0 Qatar

 Back on home soil following a clean sheet in Uzbekistan, Iran should be confident of recording a third win of their Group A campaign on Tuesday night. Qatar were too good for Kyrgyzstan but face a much sterner test at Rashid Stadium, one which we feel that the Maroons will narrowly fail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (7.43%).

Result
IranDrawQatar
50.71% (-2.979 -2.98) 24.99% (1.056 1.06) 24.3% (1.922 1.92)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-2.461 -2.46)51.23% (2.461 2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-2.194 -2.19)73.07% (2.193 2.19)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-2.122 -2.12)20.21% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (-3.508 -3.51)52.52% (3.507 3.51)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.399 0.4)35.87% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.405 0.4)72.65% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Iran 50.71%
    Qatar 24.3%
    Draw 24.98%
IranDrawQatar
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.479 -0.48)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.527 -0.53)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.362 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.688 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.779 0.78)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.436 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.3%

How you voted: Iran vs Qatar

Iran
82.7%
Draw
8.6%
Qatar
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals
Iran
2-3
Qatar
Azmoun (4'), Jahanbakhsh (51' pen.)
Torabi (18'), Hajsafi (21')
Khalilzadeh (90+3')
Gaber (17'), Afif (43'), Ali (82')
Ali Mukhtar (40'), Fathy (49'), Marquez (90')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2023 7pm
Friendlies 1
Qatar
0-4
Iran

Fathy (18'), Ali (84')
Kanani (69', 79'), Jahanbakhsh (73'), Azmoun (75')
Beiranvand (26'), Ezatolahi (59')
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International Friendlies
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1-2
Iran
Al Haidos (43' pen.)
Ro-Ro (54')
Taremi (17'), Azmoun (46')
rhs 2.0
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