Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Uzbekistan vs. UAE
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iran vs. Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Uzbekistan 1-2 Iran
Drawing each of their last two competitive meetings, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between the Group A pacesetters in Tashkent on Thursday night. Iran's record since the arrival of head coach Ghalenoei in March 2023 has been exceptional, and we envisage Team Melli earning a narrow victory in Uzbekistan to leapfrog the hosts in the section standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
33.32% ( 2.64) | 28.82% ( -0.09) | 37.86% ( -2.55) |
Both teams to score 45.21% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.66% ( 0.81) | 61.33% ( -0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.75% ( 0.6) | 81.24% ( -0.6) |
Uzbekistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% ( 2.36) | 34.23% ( -2.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% ( 2.45) | 70.92% ( -2.45) |
Iran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% ( -1.12) | 31.26% ( 1.12) |