World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Milliy Stadion
Uzbekistan1 - 0North Korea
Masharipov (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Jordan 2-1 North Korea
Thursday, August 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, August 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea | 3 | -11 | 0 |
We said: Uzbekistan 2-1 North Korea
Uzbekistan will be full of confidence after putting together a four-game unbeaten run, and we think that they will extend that streak by claiming all three points against a country they have beaten in each of their previous three head-to-head matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a North Korea win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | North Korea |
70.75% ( 0.08) | 18.26% ( 0.14) | 10.99% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -1.26) | 44.75% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( -1.23) | 67.11% ( 1.22) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( -0.33) | 11.38% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.87% ( -0.72) | 36.12% ( 0.71) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.34% ( -1.23) | 48.65% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.29% ( -0.9) | 83.71% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
Uzbekistan 70.73%
North Korea 10.99%
Draw 18.26%
| Uzbekistan | Draw | North Korea |
| 2-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.49)3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.73% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.26% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 10.99% |
How you voted: Uzbekistan vs North Korea
Uzbekistan
80.6%Draw
11.1%North Korea
8.3%36
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2019 4pm
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
4-0
North Korea
Akhmedov (29' pen.), Abdukholiqov (69'), Krimets (72'), Tursunov (91')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Apr 27, 2018 10am
International Friendlies
Uzbekistan
2-2
North Korea
Form Guide
