World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Folad Shahr Stadium
Iran1 - 0Kyrgyzstan
Taremi (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Iran 3-1 Kyrgyzstan
Iran have won 16 of their last 20 home matches in World Cup qualifying, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to begin the third stage with a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result | ||
Iran | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
65.27% ( 1.79) | 20.13% ( -0.64) | 14.6% ( -1.15) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.59% ( 0.54) | 44.41% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.21% ( 0.52) | 66.78% ( -0.52) |
Iran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( 0.7) | 12.8% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.88% ( 1.41) | 39.12% ( -1.41) |
Kyrgyzstan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.37% ( -1.23) | 42.63% ( 1.23) |