MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 05:34:36| >> :600:487657:487657:
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Turkmenistan national football team

Iran
5 - 0
Turkmenistan

Kanani (10', 48'), Azmoun (13'), Mohebi (56'), Noorafkan (90+2')
Fallah (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Turkmenistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 2-3 Qatar
Wednesday, February 7 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Iran 4-0 Turkmenistan

Iran are the overwhelming favorites in this fixture and should win with a comfortable margin. Turkmenistan have recorded seven losses in their ten-match winless streak heading into this game and the clear underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawTurkmenistan
72.32% (0.514 0.51) 17.51% (-0.038 -0.04) 10.16% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 44.97% (-1.659 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2% (-1.241 -1.24)43.79% (1.235 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81% (-1.225 -1.22)66.18% (1.22 1.22)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (-0.205 -0.2)10.71% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (-0.455 -0.45)34.63% (0.447 0.45)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.36% (-1.742 -1.74)49.63% (1.736 1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.6% (-1.251 -1.25)84.4% (1.245 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Iran 72.31%
    Turkmenistan 10.16%
    Draw 17.51%
IranDrawTurkmenistan
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.49 0.49)
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.54 0.54)
3-0 @ 9.88% (0.285 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.52% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.47% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.176 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 72.31%
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.51%
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.16%

How you voted: Iran vs Turkmenistan

Iran
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Turkmenistan
7.7%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!