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Turkmenistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony
Iran national football team

Turkmenistan
0 - 1
Iran


Durdyyew (37'), Orazov (38'), Gurbanov (40'), Abdurakhmanov (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ghaedi (45+5')
Kanani (39'), Rezaeian (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Turkmenistan and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 5-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Turkmenistan 0-3 Iran

Iran may not have home advantage for Tuesday's return fixture, but we still expect them to produce another strong display and sweep past Turkmenistan with minimum fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 84.77%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.78%) and 0-4 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
TurkmenistanDrawIran
4.57% (0.052 0.05) 10.67% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04) 84.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 40.53% (0.644 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (0.56399999999999 0.56)32.66% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (0.647 0.65)54.33% (-0.639 -0.64)
Turkmenistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.87% (0.637 0.64)57.13% (-0.628 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.88% (0.354 0.35)89.12% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.55% (0.111 0.11)5.45% (-0.1009 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.69% (0.303 0.3)21.31% (-0.293 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Turkmenistan 4.57%
    Iran 84.76%
    Draw 10.67%
TurkmenistanDrawIran
1-0 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-1 @ 1.42% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.57%
1-1 @ 5.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.07% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 10.67%
0-2 @ 13.18% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 12.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-4 @ 9.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.16% (0.067 0.07)
0-5 @ 5.41% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.21% (0.082 0.08)
1-5 @ 3.03% (0.067 0.07)
0-6 @ 2.62% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
1-6 @ 1.47% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.051 0.05)
0-7 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 84.76%

How you voted: Turkmenistan vs Iran

Turkmenistan
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Iran
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 4pm
Second Round
Iran
5-0
Turkmenistan
Kanani (10', 48'), Azmoun (13'), Mohebi (56'), Noorafkan (90+2')
Fallah (89')
rhs 2.0
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