Friendlies 1

Oct 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Qatar
0 - 4
Iran

Fathy (18'), Ali (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanani (69', 79'), Jahanbakhsh (73'), Azmoun (75')
Beiranvand (26'), Ezatolahi (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Qatar and Iran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Qatar 0-0 Iraq
Friday, October 13 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Iran

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Jordan 1-3 Iran
Friday, October 13 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	7	7
2	USA	3	1	5
3	Iran	3	-3	3
4	Wales	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Iran
20.35% ( 0.61)	26.32% ( 0.39)	53.33% ( -1)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.3% (

-0.66)

59.7% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.99% (

-0.51)

80.01% (

0.51)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.41% (

0.3)

44.59% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.4% (

0.24)

80.61% (

-0.24)

Iran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

-0.7)

22.56% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

-1.06)

56.15% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Qatar 20.35%

Iran 53.33%

Draw 26.31%

Qatar	Draw	Iran
1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.35%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 14.98% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.15% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.33%