Following their solid performance against Jamaica, Qatar will fancy their chances against a New Zealand side who have lost their last four away matches. We predict that the Maroons will pick up from where they dropped off on Friday and claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for New Zealand had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest New Zealand win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Qatar	Draw	New Zealand
43.96% ( 9.81)	22.46% ( -4.92)	33.58% ( -4.88)

Both teams to score 66.55% (

17.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

22.11)

33.93% (

-22.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.22% (

21.34)

55.78% (

-21.34)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

14.84)

16.1% (

-14.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5% (

21.74)

45.5% (

-21.73)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

7.61)

20.68% (

-7.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.73% (

10.74)

53.27% (

-10.74)

Score Analysis

Qatar 43.96%

New Zealand 33.58%

Draw 22.46%

Qatar	Draw	New Zealand
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 1.15) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -4.18) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 2.35) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 2.32) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 1.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 1.56) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 1.37) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.85) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.78) Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -3.38) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 2.09) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( -5.42) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.42) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -5.8) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( -2.84) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1.6) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.77) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.48) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.79) Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58%