We said: New Zealand 0-0 China
New Zealand are ranked 25 places below China, but the hosts were arguably the better side before being reduced to 10 men - even if Bazeley's insistence that they were "awesome" is something of a stretch.
With the full compliment on the pitch for 90 minutes, New Zealand have an even better chance of avoiding defeat once again - although, that debilitating goal drought threatens to drag on if Wood continues to be sidelined.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for China had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.