World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
New Laos National Stadium
North Korea2 - 2Qatar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, September 5 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Korea | 3 | -11 | 0 |
We said: North Korea 1-1 Qatar
Qatar have won two of the last four meetings between the two teams, but the other two fixtures have finished level, and we are expecting a draw here, as both will be determined not to suffer successive losses in the section. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| North Korea | Draw | Qatar |
17.39% ( 0.46) | 22.74% ( 0.1) | 59.88% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.32) | 50.36% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.28) | 72.3% ( -0.29) |
| North Korea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( 0.76) | 42.57% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.08% ( 0.65) | 78.92% ( -0.65) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.08) | 16.44% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.87% ( -0.15) | 46.13% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
North Korea 17.39%
Qatar 59.87%
Draw 22.73%
| North Korea | Draw | Qatar |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.39% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 11.4% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.86% 0-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 59.87% |
How you voted: North Korea vs Qatar
North Korea
24.1%Draw
24.1%Qatar
51.9%54
