Romania have made an impressive start to life under Lucescu, albeit against opposition that they were expected to beat, and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top once again this weekend.
Cyprus have struggled defensively for some time, keeping just two clean sheets in their last 19 international matches, and it is difficult to envisage the hosts keeping the Tricolour quiet in front of goal on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 75.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 0-3 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.1) 
