We said: Gibraltar 2-0 San Marino
Although San Marino will still be revelling in their recent win, their poor record in both friendlies and competitive matches must make them second favourites in Thursday's clash.
Gibraltar are also unbeaten in their last three, and it would not be surprising if they were able to hold onto a lead this time out.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gibraltar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gibraltar.
2.59) 
-2.91) 
