Gibraltar

1 - 0

San Marino

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.