Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.