Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 1-3 (5.87%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guyana would win this match.