MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:13:56| >> :60:358:358:
Montserrat national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Jun 12, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez
Bermuda national football team

Montserrat
3 - 2
Bermuda

Taylor (47' pen., 85'), Clifton (67')
(74'), Comley (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clemons (54'), Wells (78')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haiti 3-2 Montserrat
Tuesday, June 7 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Guyana 2-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, June 7 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.

Result
MontserratDrawBermuda
39.99% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 22.22% (0.004999999999999 0) 37.79% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 68.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)31.8% (0.029 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)53.33% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)16.79% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)46.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.72% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)48.37% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 39.99%
    Bermuda 37.79%
    Draw 22.22%
MontserratDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.79%

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