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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
0 - 1
Barcelona


Kerr (37'), James (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graham Hansen (4')
Pilar Leon (41'), Walsh (63'), Panos (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Barcelona Women

Chelsea have not lost a competitive home game since March 2022, while Barcelona have only suffered one competitive defeat all season. With both teams proving tough to beat, we think a cagey encounter will produce a draw, which would leave the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
16.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 18.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 64.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 61.1% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.67% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.33% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.05% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.017999999999986 0.02)32.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)9.4% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)31.62% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 16.59%
    Barcelona Women 64.96%
    Draw 18.45%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.59%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 64.96%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
25.0%
Draw
16.7%
Barcelona Women
58.3%
12
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 8pm
Final
Chelsea Women
0-4
Barcelona

Ingle (38')
Leupolz (1' og.), Putellas (14' pen.), Bonmati (21'), Graham Hansen (36')
Ouahabi (69')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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