La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano1 - 1Real Madrid
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, February 13 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Real Madrid
Rayo will be looking to take advantage of Real Madrid's busy schedule and injury problems, but the home side are in such disappointing form, so it is tough to back them. Los Blancos are on a bit of a roll at the moment, and we are fully expecting them to collect another three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Madrid |
18.24% ( 0.4) | 22.53% ( 0.68) | 59.23% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( -2.23) | 48.21% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -2.07) | 70.37% ( 2.08) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.85) | 40.28% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.1% ( -0.78) | 76.91% ( 0.79) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( -1.1) | 15.92% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.83% ( -2.07) | 45.17% ( 2.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano 18.24%
Real Madrid 59.23%
Draw 22.52%
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.24% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.28)0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.16% Total : 59.23% |
How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
8.5%Draw
6.3%Real Madrid
85.2%176
Form Guide
Build-up
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Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Rayo Vallecano.
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