Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
36.56% ( 0.02) | 29.8% ( 0) | 33.64% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.61% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.49% ( -0.01) | 64.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.45% ( -0.01) | 83.55% ( 0.01) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( 0.01) | 33.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% ( 0.01) | 70.38% ( -0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% ( -0.02) | 35.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% ( -0.02) | 72.48% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.79% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |