La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 1
Mallorca

Sorloth (45+1')
Sorloth (45'), Femenia (81')
Reina (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Llabres (90+1')
Larin (27'), Darder (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 3-0 Villarreal
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Tenerife 0-1 Mallorca
Tuesday, January 16 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca

Villarreal have only won three times at home in La Liga this season, but they will be welcoming a Mallorca outfit that have just one away league success to their name in 2023-24. Mallorca are proving difficult to beat at the moment, and Villarreal are not in good form, so we can see a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Mallorca
50.33% ( 0.51)	23.16% ( -0.19)	26.51% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5% (

0.61)

41.49% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11% (

0.62)

63.89% (

-0.62)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

0.41)

16.63% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

0.74)

46.46% (

-0.74)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

0.08)

28.85% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

0.1)

64.72% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 50.33%

Mallorca 26.51%

Draw 23.16%

Villarreal	Draw	Mallorca
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.51%