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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 0
New Saints


Abadaki (55'), Malkin (75'), Mitter (84')
Shannon (55')
FT

Marriott (55'), Young (86')
Cieslewicz (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 0-3 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 9 at 5.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hibernian U21s 0-3 New Saints
Friday, September 8 at 6pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

We said: Bala Town 1-3 The New Saints

Given that Bala Town boast the joint-best defensive record in the Welsh Premier League after five matches, we expect the hosts to put up a decent fight on Wednesday. Still, free-scoring TNS look set to extend their lead at the summit of the table with another victory over Bala, having already netted 16 league goals this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
16.34% (-3.688 -3.69) 20.3% (-1.82 -1.82) 63.35% (5.508 5.51)
Both teams to score 53.63% (-0.991 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27% (2.161 2.16)41.72% (-2.161 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.87% (2.145 2.15)64.13% (-2.145 -2.15)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (-2.868 -2.87)38.68% (2.867 2.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-2.833 -2.83)75.42% (2.831 2.83)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (2.363 2.36)12.53% (-2.365 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (4.7 4.7)38.56% (-4.701 -4.7)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 16.34%
    The New Saints 63.34%
    Draw 20.3%
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 4.61% (-0.874 -0.87)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.814 -0.81)
2-0 @ 2.19% (-0.626 -0.63)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 1.44% (-0.395 -0.4)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.867 -0.87)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.487 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.3%
0-2 @ 10.45% (0.78 0.78)
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 7.24% (1.1 1.1)
1-3 @ 6.87% (0.572 0.57)
0-4 @ 3.76% (0.836 0.84)
1-4 @ 3.57% (0.569 0.57)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.155 0.16)
0-5 @ 1.56% (0.449 0.45)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.34 0.34)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 63.34%

How you voted: Bala Town vs New Saints

Bala Town
8.7%
Draw
8.7%
The New Saints
82.6%
23
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
New Saints
2-1
Bala Town
Brobbel (28'), Astles (89')
Peate (30')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
New Saints
3-0
Bala Town
Brobbel (6'), Clark (68', 78')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bala Town
0-5
New Saints
Clark (5'), Wilson (16', 54'), Daniels (52'), McManus (60')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Bala Town
1-1
New Saints
Peate (53')
Smith (12'), Shannon (47')
Williams (1')
Davies (38'), Hudson (79')
rhs 2.0
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