Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley2 - 1Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-3 West Brom
Sunday, September 15 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, September 15 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Burnley 2-1 Portsmouth
Burnley have not claimed a competitive home win over Portsmouth since February 1982, but we think that they will end that winless run when they face a Pompey side that will be low on confidence after suffering consecutive home defeats. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Portsmouth |
49.98% ( 0.06) | 23.48% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.08) | 42.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( 0.08) | 65.3% ( -0.08) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( 0.05) | 17.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.09) | 47.62% ( -0.09) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( 0.01) | 29.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.41% ( 0.01) | 65.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 49.98%
Portsmouth 26.54%
Draw 23.47%
| Burnley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.54% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Portsmouth
Burnley
83.1%Draw
10.8%Portsmouth
6.2%65
Form Guide
