MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 22:58:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Feb 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Harrington (75')
Bratley (70'), Morris (90+4')
Wilde (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davies (22')
Williams (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
71.09% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 16.12% (0.041 0.04) 12.79% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)29.34% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.61% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)50.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.68% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)7.32% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)26.46% (0.09 0.09)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.034000000000006 0.03)35.38% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)72.14% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 71.09%
    Caernarfon Town 12.79%
    Draw 16.12%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 71.09%
1-1 @ 7.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 16.12%
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 12.79%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
3-3
Caernarfon
Nash (69'), Malkin (74', 90+4')
O'Rourke (10'), Faux (50'), Marsh-Hughes (65')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
0-2
Connah's Quay
Stratulis (70'), Edwards (90+1')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
0-1
Connah's Quay

Hughes (23'), Donohue (53'), Simpson (79')
Hughes (90+2')
Eardley (68')
Harrington (64')
rhs 2.0
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