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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Williams (61'), Clarke (73')
Gosset (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McCready (81')
McCready (33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
46.67% (0.34399999999999 0.34) 22.04% (0.023 0.02) 31.29% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 67.05% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (-0.3 -0.3)32.84% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (-0.346 -0.35)54.54% (0.349 0.35)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (0.012 0.01)42.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)21.39% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (-0.537 -0.54)54.38% (0.541 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 46.67%
    Colwyn Bay 31.29%
    Draw 22.04%
Caernarfon TownDrawColwyn Bay
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.53% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Colwyn Bay
0-4
Caernarfon

Sirrell (29')
Thomas (36'), Davies (61', 71'), Clarke (66')
Gosset (7'), Donohue (32'), Thomas (39'), Mooney (45+2'), Bradley (57'), Lloyd (89'), Lloyd (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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