Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Colwyn Bay
59.07% ( -0.4)	21.33% ( 0.1)	19.6% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.08% (

40.92% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.69% (

0.01)

63.31%

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46% (

-0.11)

13.53% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.4% (

-0.24)

40.6% (

0.24)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

0.31)

34.54% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

0.33)

71.26% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 59.07%

Colwyn Bay 19.6%

Draw 21.33%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Colwyn Bay
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 59.07%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.6%