Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Haverfordwest County
37.71% ( -0.12)	27.97% ( 0.03)	34.32% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.77% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.76% (

-0.1)

58.23% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13% (

-0.08)

78.87% (

0.08)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.2% (

-0.12)

29.8% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.12% (

-0.15)

65.88% (

0.15)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

0.01)

31.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

0.01)

68.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 37.7%

Haverfordwest County 34.31%

Draw 27.97%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.7%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.31%