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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay

Rogers (45'), Peate (65')
Burke (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (45+4')
Williams (43'), McCready (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Colwyn Bay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Bala Town
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 30 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawColwyn Bay
37.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 25.48% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 36.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (-0.322 -0.32)47.87% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (-0.297 -0.3)70.05% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.19000000000001 -0.19)24.9% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)59.52% (0.257 0.26)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (-0.148 -0.15)25.37% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (-0.201 -0.2)60.17% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 37.69%
    Colwyn Bay 36.83%
    Draw 25.47%
Bala TownDrawColwyn Bay
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.69%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.83%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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