Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK

The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 1
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (7'), Richards (54'), Harling (70'), Davies (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wilde (87')
Edwards (12'), Franklin (56'), Poole (90+1'), Stratulis (90+4')
Poole (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Pontypridd
Sunday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-4 New Saints
Sunday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
21.57% ( -0.06)	22.69% ( -0.04)	55.73% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61% (

0.08)

44.38% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.24% (

0.08)

66.76% (

-0.08)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43% (

-0.01)

34.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.71% (

-0.01)

71.29% (

0.01)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

0.06)

15.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.1% (

0.11)

44.9% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 21.57%

Connah's Quay Nomads 55.73%

Draw 22.68%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.57%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.73%