MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:51:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 31, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Pontypridd

Richards (40')
Evans (60'), Borge (90+2')
Evans (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (41'), Knott (47'), Cummings (54')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawPontypridd Town AFC
53.52% (0.595 0.59) 23.8% (-0.221 -0.22) 22.67% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 52.96% (0.232 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.05% (0.53599999999999 0.54)47.94% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.489 0.49)70.12% (-0.489 -0.49)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.42400000000001 0.42)17.84% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.725 0.73)48.59% (-0.725 -0.73)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)35.53% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)72.3% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 53.52%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 22.67%
    Draw 23.8%
Pen-y-BontDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.075 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.075 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.67%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Pontypridd
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Green (22'), Vaughan (44'), Ahmun (83'), Davies (85'), Ratcliffe (90')
Vaughan (89'), Ahmun (90+1')
Jefferies (32')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Pontypridd
0-1
Pen-y-Bont
Vincent (54')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Pontypridd
Whitmore (34')
Wright (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
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12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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