Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
53.52% ( 0.59)	23.8% ( -0.22)	22.67% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05% (

0.54)

47.94% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.88% (

0.49)

70.12% (

-0.49)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

0.42)

17.84% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.4% (

0.73)

48.59% (

-0.73)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

-0.05)

35.53% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.7% (

-0.05)

72.3% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 53.52%

Pontypridd Town AFC 22.67%

Draw 23.8%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Pontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.52%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.67%