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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Pen-y-Bont

FT(HT: 0-2)
Richards (18'), Griffiths (44'), Ware (76')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, December 16 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 3-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawPen-y-Bont
43.02% (0.0020000000000024 0) 24.35% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.62% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)65.84% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.66% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 43.03%
    Pen-y-Bont 32.62%
    Draw 24.34%
Cardiff MUDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.62%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
0-0
Cardiff MU
Reffell (43'), Jones (49'), Venables (66'), Harling (90+6')
Vincent (75')
Vincent (78')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
2-3
Pen-y-Bont
Rees (45+1'), H (46')
Wood (64'), Reynolds (73'), Harling (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Cardiff MU
Reynolds (42'), Wood (89' pen.)
Lewis (90+6')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Pen-y-Bont
1-3
Cardiff MU
Owen (60')
Chubb (10'), Jones (62'), Baker (77')
rhs 2.0
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