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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
4 - 2
Aberystwyth

Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 68.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
68.75% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 18.16% (0.112 0.11) 13.09%
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)38.79% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.557 -0.56)61.1% (0.56 0.56)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (-0.167 -0.17)10.26% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)33.61% (0.391 0.39)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.337 -0.34)41.28% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.3 -0.3)77.81% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 68.74%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.09%
    Draw 18.16%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 68.74%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.09%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints25200569274260
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont25156443222151
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest25129433141945
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2511593734338
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2511593938138
6Bala TownBala Town2571173229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2510783841-337
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2585123429529
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2582153251-1926
4Briton Ferry2574143850-1225
5Newtown AFCNewtown2556142750-2321
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2552182259-3717
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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