Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
3 - 1
Connah's Quay

Evans (24'), Jones (31'), Craven (77')
Owen (28'), Craven (88'), Evans (90+2')
Price (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bratley (87')
Franklin (63'), Disney (89')
Franklin (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

All competitions

Last Game: Pontypridd 1-3 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Connah's Quay 6-1 Caernarfon
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MU	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
20.54% ( -0)	24.13% ( -0.02)	55.32% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.1% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

0.09)

51.63% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

0.08)

73.42% (

-0.08)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28% (

0.05)

39.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

0.05)

76.39% (

-0.05)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46% (

0.04)

18.54% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.21% (

0.07)

49.79% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Cardiff MU 20.54%

Connah's Quay Nomads 55.32%

Draw 24.12%

Cardiff MU	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.54%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.32%