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UEFA Conference League
Dundee United
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tannadice Park
AZ Alkmaar

Dundee Utd
1 - 0
AZ

Middleton (61')
Fletcher (32'), Sibbald (50'), Middleton (76'), Edwards (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hatzidiakos (25'), Beukema (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Dundee United and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

Last Six:
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:
    Last Game: Tuzla City 0-4 AZ
    Thursday, July 28 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: Dundee United 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

     Dundee's best chance in this tie is taking advantage of the game at Tannadice, and they will back themselves to earn at least a draw against their higher-quality opponents. However, AZ can only have benefitted from playing in the previous round, leading us to predict an away win on Thursday night. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

    The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

    Result
    Dundee UnitedDrawAZ Alkmaar
    37.25% (0.322 0.32) 25.02% (-0.157 -0.16) 37.72% (-0.163 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 57.68% (0.574 0.57)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    54.24% (0.735 0.73)45.76% (-0.733 -0.73)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    31.92% (0.694 0.69)68.08% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)
    Dundee United Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    75.82% (0.514 0.51)24.18% (-0.511 -0.51)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    41.49% (0.72 0.72)58.5% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)
    AZ Alkmaar Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.07% (0.246 0.25)23.92% (-0.245 -0.25)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    41.85% (0.349 0.35)58.14% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
    Score Analysis
        Dundee United 37.25%
        AZ Alkmaar 37.72%
        Draw 25.02%
    Dundee UnitedDrawAZ Alkmaar
    2-1 @ 8.34% (0.048 0.05)
    1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.134 -0.13)
    2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
    3-1 @ 3.95% (0.08 0.08)
    3-2 @ 2.82% (0.077 0.08)
    3-0 @ 2.76% (0.037 0.04)
    4-1 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
    4-2 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
    4-0 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
    Other @ 1.96%
    Total : 37.25%
    		1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
    2-2 @ 5.96% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
    0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.183 -0.18)
    3-3 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
    Other @ 0.19%
    Total : 25.02%
    		1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
    0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
    0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.101 -0.1)
    1-3 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
    2-3 @ 2.84% (0.056 0.06)
    0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
    1-4 @ 1.43% (0.018 0.02)
    2-4 @ 1.02% (0.027 0.03)
    0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    Other @ 2.01%
    Total : 37.72%

    How you voted: Dundee Utd vs AZ

    Dundee United
    21.9%
    Draw
    10.9%
    AZ Alkmaar
    67.2%
    64
    rhs 2.0
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