Racing3 - 0Atletico Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
for
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Racing Club 3-2 Atletico Nacional (Atletico Nacional win 6-5 on aggregate)
Thanks to their late penalties last week, Racing Club do have a lifeline heading into the second leg with home advantage, and while we do see them causing the visitors problems, we back Atletico Nacional to score a few of their own and just come out on top on aggregate, even if they do not prevail on the night in Buenos Aires. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
55.22% ( -1.48) | 24.17% ( -0.11) | 20.61% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 2.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
