MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 14:16:03| >> :60:45:45:
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
4 - 2
Racing

Zapata (34'), Duque (61'), Cantera (83', 90+5')
Castro (9'), Deossa (45+4'), Ocampo (77'), Aguirre (79'), Zapata (87'), Andres Perea Abonce (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piovi (87' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Pillud (60'), Hauche (63'), Martirena (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-1 Patronato
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Racing
Saturday, July 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Nacional 1-1 Racing Club

With the second leg of this contest scheduled for next week, both sides look set to approach the first leg with caution, meaning that Atletico Nacional and Racing Club will likely play out a tense and cagey draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawRacing Club
40.94% (1.097 1.1) 26.73% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 32.33% (-1.063 -1.06)
Both teams to score 51.13% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19% (-0.131 -0.13)53.81% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72% (-0.11 -0.11)75.28% (0.119 0.12)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.53099999999999 0.53)25.88% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.708 0.71)60.86% (-0.698 -0.7)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.771 -0.77)31.02% (0.779 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.915 -0.91)67.33% (0.925 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 40.94%
    Racing Club 32.33%
    Draw 26.73%
Atletico NacionalDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.255 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Atletico Nacional vs Racing

Atletico Nacional
26.7%
Draw
60.0%
Racing Club
13.3%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!