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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Girona logo

Almeria
0 - 0
Girona


Baptistao (21'), Fernandes (22'), Akieme (56'), Montes (79'), Fernandes (84')
FT

Fernandez (34'), Juanpe (65'), Savio (71'), Martinez (90+7')
Garcia (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Almeria
Thursday, January 4 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Girona
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Almeria 0-2 Girona

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Girona, and it would not be a complete shock if Almeria were able to hold the title challengers to a draw on Sunday. Girona are very much in the winning habit at the moment, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGirona
27.76% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 23.51% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 48.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.12% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.93% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 27.76%
    Girona 48.73%
    Draw 23.51%
AlmeriaDrawGirona
2-1 @ 6.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 48.73%

How you voted: Almeria vs Girona

Almeria
4.1%
Draw
6.8%
Girona
89.2%
74
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Girona
5-2
Almeria
Martin (37'), Dovbyk (39', 43'), Savio (71'), Stuani (85')
Lopez (45+4')
Baptistao (2', 24')
Robertone (26'), Baptistao (74')
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Girona
6-2
Almeria
Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Almeria
3-2
Girona
Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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