La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, December 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 3 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 3-0 Almeria
It would be one of the biggest surprises of the season if Almeria were able to pick up a positive result on Sunday, and we just cannot see the visitors avoiding defeat. Atletico will be aiming to bounce back from their loss to Barcelona and should have far too much quality for their opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
71.03% ( 0.18) | 16.83% ( -0.06) | 12.14% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.04) | 34.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( -0.05) | 56.79% ( 0.04) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.32% ( 0.03) | 8.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.08) | 29.9% ( -0.08) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0.23) | 40.15% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.21% ( -0.21) | 76.79% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 71.03%
Almeria 12.14%
Draw 16.83%
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 71.03% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.14% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Almeria
Atletico Madrid
94.4%Draw
5.6%Almeria
0.0%36
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 5.30pm
Jan 15, 2023 3.15pm
Feb 21, 2015 7pm
Sep 24, 2014 7pm
Feb 8, 2014 9pm
