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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Real Sociedad logo

Almeria
1 - 3
Real Sociedad

Arribas (76')
Robertone (27'), Embarba (50'), Lopy (90+2'), Lopy (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oyarzabal (62'), Fernandez (90+1' pen.), Zubimendi (90+5')
Sadiq (32'), Munoz (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Benfica
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad

Almeria are a very, very difficult team to back, and we are finding it tough to predict anything other than an away win here. Almeria will be the fresher of the two teams, but Real Sociedad should have enough quality to secure all three points this weekend against statistically the worst side in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawReal Sociedad
25.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 48.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.47% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.19% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)76.43% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)74.05% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)56.4% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 25.18%
    Real Sociedad 48.62%
    Draw 26.19%
AlmeriaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.18%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.62%

How you voted: Almeria vs Real Sociedad

Almeria
5.8%
Draw
5.8%
Real Sociedad
88.5%
52
Head to Head
May 23, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Sociedad
1-0
Almeria
Kubo (45+4')

Eguaras (89')
Suarez Charris (36')
Jan 8, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 16
Almeria
0-2
Real Sociedad
Silva (47'), Sorloth (53')
Feb 13, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Real Sociedad
Verza (5' pen.), Hemed (40')
Corona (30'), Velez (46'), Bifouma (69'), Dos Santos (73'), Zongo (85')
Agirretxe (27'), Canales (48')
Rulli (3'), Granero (18'), Berchiche (82'), Ansotegi (84')
Sep 21, 2014 11am
Real Sociedad
1-2
Almeria
Castro (85')
Bergara (56')
De la Bella (30' og.), Dos Santos (51')
Zongo (23'), Dubarbier (54'), Soriana (58'), Trujillo (58'), Verza (65'), Teye (73'), Navarro (88')
Dubarbier (79')
Mar 24, 2014 9pm
Almeria
4-3
Real Sociedad
Diaz (29'), Verza (66' pen., 71' pen.), Hicham (90')
Trujillo (21'), Diaz (63'), Soriano (72'), Verza (73')
Vela (21' pen.), Agirretxe (58'), Bergara (85')
Martinez (65'), Gonzalez (70'), de La Bella (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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