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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Las Palmas

Almeria
1 - 2
Las Palmas

Ramazani (73')
Baba (18'), Robertone (31'), Montes (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Haddadi (23'), Kaba (90+4')
Cardona (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 5-2 Almeria
Sunday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Las Palmas

Las Palmas do not concede many, but they have real problems finding the back of the net, and if Almeria can score first, we fancy them to avoid defeat here. It is difficult to back the hosts to win due to their struggles in that department this season, but we can see the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawLas Palmas
38.18% (1.75 1.75) 26.66% (0.191 0.19) 35.15% (-1.944 -1.94)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.717 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (-0.871 -0.87)53.05% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (-0.746 -0.75)74.64% (0.741 0.74)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (0.59700000000001 0.6)27.03% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (0.779 0.78)62.39% (-0.785 -0.79)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-1.581 -1.58)28.82% (1.577 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-2.009 -2.01)64.68% (2.005 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 38.18%
    Las Palmas 35.15%
    Draw 26.65%
AlmeriaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.506 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.44 0.44)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.145 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.15%

How you voted: Almeria vs Las Palmas

Almeria
35.3%
Draw
41.2%
Las Palmas
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Las Palmas
1-1
Almeria
Viera (37')
Viera (52'), Cardona (54'), Pinchi (59'), Penaranda (90+2')
Appiah (51')
Robertone (18'), de la Hoz (55'), Babic (61')
Oct 9, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Almeria
1-1
Las Palmas
Portillo (32')
Chumi (21'), Sousa (84')
Viera (90')
Cardona (36'), Ferigra (56'), Curbelo (67'), Loiodice (73')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Almeria
3-1
Las Palmas
Villar (45+2' pen., 48'), Akieme (54')
Fernandes (20'), Samu (26'), Villar (28'), Robertone (43')
Mujica (53')
Castellano (72')
Oct 17, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Las Palmas
2-0
Almeria
Araujo (7', 76')
Lemos (14'), Pejino (28')

Carvalho (55'), Aketxe (62'), Balliu (65')
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Las Palmas

Aguza (45+6'), Corpas (61'), Jonathan (73'), Martinez Gonzalvez (74'), de la Hoz (90+3')
Castro (23')
de la Bella (35'), Miguel Castaneda Macho (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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