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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka


Tachi (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grolli (86')
Maejima (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka

While Shonan Bellmare will look to pick up from where they dropped off in midweek, they face a spirited Avispa Fukuoka side who have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks. However, Hasebe's men have struggled for results away from home and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawAvispa Fukuoka
45.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 27.95% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 26.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56% (0.196 0.2)60.44% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (0.148 0.15)80.57% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.114 0.11)26.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.148 0.15)61.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.12 0.12)38.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.114 0.11)75.55% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 45.29%
    Avispa Fukuoka 26.75%
    Draw 27.94%
Shonan BellmareDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.29%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka

Shonan Bellmare
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Avispa Fukuoka
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5am
Gameweek 5
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Yamagishi (90+6', 90+9')
Onose (73')
Jul 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 22
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Ohno (40'), Yonemoto (88')
Watari (52')
May 7, 2022 9am
Gameweek 12
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Shonan Bellmare
Yamagishi (45'), Nakamura (89')
Segawa (8'), Nagaki (89'), Hata (90')
Segawa (45+2')
Sep 18, 2021 10am
Gameweek 29
Shonan Bellmare
1-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Ohashi (90+7')
Oiwa (28'), Barada (41'), Okamoto (55')
Juanma (30' pen.)
Watari (64'), Juanma (68')
May 22, 2021 9am
Gameweek 15
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Mendes (65'), Grolli (71')
Nara (57')
Nago (32')
Nakamura (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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